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Geopolitical strategy

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Russian forces strike Ukraine’s logistics centers, energy facilities, defense enterprises

The Russian Armed Forces also hit a dry cargo ship carrying military supplies en route to ...

Sep 23, 2026
Chagos Islands deal ‘can’t go ahead’ without US support, Streeting says

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Sep 23, 2026
AI drone maker hits $6.4 billion valuation as Ukraine war spurs defense tech

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Sep 23, 2026
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Sep 23, 2026
Oil refineries, ports emerge as main customers for interceptor UAVs — expert

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Ukraine · Sep 23, 2026
Trump and Zelensky discuss path to ending Ukraine war

On Tuesday, September 22, Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky met in N...

New York, United States · Sep 23, 2026
Inside the Ukrainian drone unit controlling Russian-occupied Crimea’s highways

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Sep 23, 2026
China puts industry minister in charge of key semiconductor hub Anhui province

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Sep 23, 2026
How China’s Leader Plans to Win the Future With A.I.

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China · Sep 23, 2026
UK to launch new military space squadron to protect satellites, defence ministry says

Last year, the head of UK Space Command Major General Paul Tedman warned he was "really wo...

United Kingdom · Sep 23, 2026
China's purges of top military commanders spur questions about war-waging ability

HONG KONG/BEIJING, Sept 23 - Purges of military leaders may have dented China's war-fighti...

Sep 23, 2026
China’s purges of top military commanders spur questions about war-waging ability

The crackdown is likely to have strengthened Xi Jinping's grip on an institution that is a...

Sep 23, 2026
South Korea Begins Development of New Anti-ship Missile

South Korea's DAPA has approved development for the Ship-to-Ship Missile-II, a stealth, tu...

Seoul, South Korea · Sep 23, 2026
Rostec introduces fully domestically produced Igla small-arms system

The system will replace a number of foreign counterparts

Sep 23, 2026
Russia concerned about military-biological activities of several countries — Lavrov

According to the Russian foreign minister, half a century after the BTWC took effect in 19...

Sep 23, 2026
Russia’s Lancet systems, strike UAVs destroy Ukraine’s foreign artillery systems

Reconnaissance teams detected a camouflaged M109 Paladin self-propelled howitzer and two B...

Sep 23, 2026
Finnish politician says NATO should return to its 1990s borders to reach peace in Ukraine

"The west will re-arm Ukraine if any peace deal were made," Armando Mema said

Sep 23, 2026
Lockheed Martin Wins $1.2B PrSM Increment 2 Contract Following Second Maritime Test

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United States · Sep 23, 2026
Seoul Needs a Playbook for Hormuz, Ukraine, and What Comes Next

Earlier this month, President Donald Trump shared a Washington Post opinion piece on his s...

Sep 23, 2026
Belgium’s second rMCM ship ‘Tournai’ Arrives in Zeebrugge

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Zeebrugge, Belgium · Sep 23, 2026
Pakistan’s new drone deal is with Trump-backed firm also selling to India

The company's cofounder is also an ex-Israeli soldier. Pakistan does not recognise Israel.

Sep 23, 2026
Why China’s Silicon Valley won’t need American degrees

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Sep 23, 2026
Liberation of Dobropolye to disrupt Ukrainian forces’ logistics in Kramatorsk — DPR head

"The main supply route to the Kramatorsk-Slavyansk metropolitan area from the Dnepropetrov...

Dobropolye, Ukraine · Sep 23, 2026
Seoul’s new defense chief tells North Korea to halt fortifications along border

South Korea’s new defense minister Kang Shin-chul said North Korea should halt its efforts...

Seoul, South Korea · Sep 23, 2026
China’s stealth fighters, critical minerals from lithium waste: 7 science highlights

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Beijing, China · Sep 23, 2026
Israeli strike causes power outage in Lebanese town

Israeli strike causes power outage in Lebanese town Power supply lines were damaged and a ...

Lebanon · Sep 23, 2026
Stepping On Legos: The All Too Familiar Pain of Being Behind the Curve in the Information Environment

Abstract Operating under the assumption that a war against Iran is orders of magnitude les...

Sep 23, 2026
The Ukraine Laboratory: How a Full-Spectrum War Is Rewriting Modern Warfighting

Introduction More than three years into the largest interstate war in Europe since 1945, t...

Ukraine · Sep 23, 2026
Ukraine Ready for Truce If Russia Stops Energy Strikes

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, after a meeting with US President Donald Trump in...

Sep 23, 2026
Iran floats conditions for Hormuz reopening as Trump says deal could come after midterms

Tehran's proposal could pave the way for restoring traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, r...

Sep 23, 2026
News & Map →

Weekly Analysis

Geopolitical Summary 7 September 2026

AI-prepared Sep 06, 2026 · the week across all seven sites

In the week to 6 September the United States and Iran resumed open exchange of fire around the Strait of Hormuz, and the effects showed up in American diesel prices, world food prices, European gas storage, and the bond markets of every G7 economy. Washington spent the week insisting none of it was a war.

Read the full analysis →

Every weekly analysis →

Six chokepoints, each against its own five-year range

Daily transits through the waterways most of world trade has to pass through, each drawn against the range of the previous five years.

  • Current
  • 5-year range

Strait of Hormuz

-97.2% vs 12-month average

0501001504.2519 Aug 2530 Dec 2512 May 26

Strait of Malacca

+0.56% vs 12-month average

0100200300235.519 Aug 2530 Dec 2512 May 26

Suez Canal

+2.66% vs 12-month average

02040608010043.319 Aug 2530 Dec 2512 May 26

Bab el-Mandeb

-24.0% vs 12-month average

02040608010026.319 Aug 2530 Dec 2512 May 26

Panama Canal

-15.1% vs 12-month average

01020304027.519 Aug 2530 Dec 2512 May 26

Taiwan Strait

-0.24% vs 12-month average

0100200300400233.019 Aug 2530 Dec 2512 May 26
View as table
DateStrait of Hormuz (transits/day)Strait of Malacca (transits/day)Suez Canal (transits/day)Bab el-Mandeb (transits/day)Panama Canal (transits/day)Taiwan Strait (transits/day)
2025-08-19106.0260.043.033.033.0245.0
2025-08-2086.0231.061.034.030.0249.0
2025-08-2181.0222.025.027.032.0241.0
2025-08-22115.0239.036.027.035.0275.0
2025-08-2387.0232.040.033.031.0241.0
2025-08-24104.0247.045.035.033.0257.0
2025-08-2590.0242.034.030.036.0261.0
2025-08-2682.0220.040.034.030.0209.0
2025-08-2790.0234.034.042.030.0258.0
2025-08-28108.0254.032.034.031.0232.0
2025-08-29101.0241.042.043.031.0244.0
2025-08-30121.0260.031.048.031.0261.0
2025-08-31109.0217.044.033.027.0267.0
2025-09-01114.0233.047.029.029.0259.0
2025-09-0281.0231.037.029.028.0259.0
2025-09-0386.0243.047.038.033.0251.0
2025-09-0461.0229.044.030.030.0284.0
2025-09-05121.0252.037.046.032.0250.0
2025-09-06104.0267.039.035.032.0250.0
2025-09-07101.0241.047.032.036.0246.0
2025-09-0899.0246.035.033.034.0242.0
2025-09-0985.0257.044.035.033.0225.0
2025-09-1086.0251.039.029.031.0221.0
2025-09-1169.0234.049.031.032.0276.0
2025-09-1261.0236.051.039.029.0264.0
2025-09-1361.0228.050.043.030.0272.0
2025-09-1464.0250.047.039.032.0267.0
2025-09-1576.0252.037.035.027.0249.0
2025-09-1699.0240.034.040.034.0258.0
2025-09-17107.0263.044.029.035.0191.0
2025-09-18115.0255.037.036.033.0226.0
2025-09-1977.0283.051.036.033.0242.0
2025-09-2064.0230.039.033.034.0273.0
2025-09-2173.0235.031.031.030.0216.0
2025-09-2263.0244.045.033.027.0135.0
2025-09-2388.0255.040.029.029.0164.0
2025-09-2490.0217.052.024.038.0281.0
2025-09-2562.0234.045.044.031.0216.0
2025-09-2676.0249.036.026.031.0260.0
2025-09-27102.0235.035.043.033.0249.0
2025-09-28124.0219.046.034.034.0244.0
2025-09-29129.0181.039.030.030.0246.0
2025-09-30100.0244.038.027.030.0237.0
2025-10-01116.0226.045.023.032.0254.0
2025-10-0294.0255.042.046.030.0233.0
2025-10-03101.0229.046.033.034.0246.0
2025-10-04118.0260.036.046.032.0254.0
2025-10-05121.0239.042.031.031.0208.0
2025-10-0689.0279.039.039.033.0216.0
2025-10-07101.0230.032.031.032.0269.0
2025-10-0855.0245.042.031.034.0218.0
2025-10-0956.0222.041.041.033.0186.0
2025-10-1069.0229.036.034.029.0251.0
2025-10-1169.0280.040.034.033.0279.0
2025-10-1255.0233.043.028.032.0235.0
2025-10-1371.0235.048.032.036.0259.0
2025-10-14120.0257.043.042.029.0253.0
2025-10-1562.0249.031.029.034.0231.0
2025-10-1651.0272.051.032.030.0235.0
2025-10-1758.0236.050.041.035.0237.0
2025-10-1872.0212.032.046.030.0191.0
2025-10-1982.0254.051.041.034.0117.0
2025-10-2082.0262.047.041.034.088.0
2025-10-21103.0233.032.055.035.077.0
2025-10-22116.0238.034.030.032.099.0
2025-10-23109.0215.049.035.029.0141.0
2025-10-24104.0237.040.029.031.0172.0
2025-10-25101.0210.047.042.038.0259.0
2025-10-2699.0265.050.030.031.0226.0
2025-10-27106.0243.045.024.030.0184.0
2025-10-28103.0240.039.032.031.0195.0
2025-10-29114.0244.036.041.030.0252.0
2025-10-3095.0257.037.038.030.0269.0
2025-10-3180.0221.035.042.027.0245.0
2025-11-0174.0228.045.025.033.0238.0
2025-11-0260.0236.036.043.035.0231.0
2025-11-0351.0236.049.043.033.0178.0
2025-11-0474.0257.039.033.027.0241.0
2025-11-0578.0236.046.031.032.0234.0
2025-11-0669.0260.037.050.034.0249.0
2025-11-0777.0238.052.038.031.0258.0
2025-11-08107.0233.038.042.033.0296.0
2025-11-0971.0232.048.044.038.0213.0
2025-11-1067.0242.048.032.023.064.0
2025-11-11100.0298.048.041.030.026.0
2025-11-1270.0228.043.027.034.0188.0
2025-11-13100.0237.044.034.031.0397.0
2025-11-1483.0264.047.028.029.0338.0
2025-11-1569.0216.040.037.029.0278.0
2025-11-1670.0242.045.038.032.0221.0
2025-11-1760.0214.038.040.029.0209.0
2025-11-1872.0225.028.041.028.0179.0
2025-11-1964.0254.044.038.031.0225.0
2025-11-2067.0249.050.047.031.0208.0
2025-11-2149.0240.045.039.028.0211.0
2025-11-2251.0255.034.033.032.0211.0
2025-11-2361.0242.041.047.029.0239.0
2025-11-2446.0218.049.030.033.0217.0
2025-11-2567.0226.047.045.032.0221.0
2025-11-2651.0227.040.038.037.0204.0
2025-11-2749.0228.051.032.031.0216.0
2025-11-2850.0216.044.037.036.0234.0
2025-11-2957.0239.028.033.035.0243.0
2025-11-3057.0216.044.047.034.0212.0
2025-12-0165.0215.054.029.034.0215.0
2025-12-0259.0239.032.042.034.0245.0
2025-12-0351.0234.040.042.033.0189.0
2025-12-0445.0264.044.026.033.0229.0
2025-12-0544.0286.036.039.036.0242.0
2025-12-0668.0224.044.040.032.0233.0
2025-12-0764.0228.034.040.037.0238.0
2025-12-0859.0242.045.019.032.0118.0
2025-12-0982.0239.038.013.029.0131.0
2025-12-1052.0248.031.026.032.0183.0
2025-12-1150.0241.041.024.030.0192.0
2025-12-1241.0249.043.031.031.0218.0
2025-12-1346.0241.043.027.034.0230.0
2025-12-1449.0251.050.037.030.0188.0
2025-12-1547.0232.048.026.030.0214.0
2025-12-1655.0262.034.035.035.0265.0
2025-12-1750.0225.032.040.033.0221.0
2025-12-1855.0256.044.035.035.0243.0
2025-12-1931.0241.051.029.031.0247.0
2025-12-2048.0224.038.023.032.0223.0
2025-12-2154.0235.042.039.030.0206.0
2025-12-2246.0213.045.024.029.0222.0
2025-12-2358.0202.039.034.029.0283.0
2025-12-2465.0278.036.030.032.0231.0
2025-12-2568.0254.046.043.029.0207.0
2025-12-2662.0270.037.030.031.0218.0
2025-12-2766.0247.033.038.030.0198.0
2025-12-2855.0233.033.043.026.0228.0
2025-12-2950.0223.032.042.028.0237.0
2025-12-3066.0262.039.034.032.0216.0
2025-12-3171.0238.038.034.029.0199.0
2026-01-0164.0243.027.029.026.0211.0
2026-01-0251.0229.028.026.027.0210.0
2026-01-0359.0237.038.037.030.0257.0
2026-01-0449.0260.044.031.026.0235.0
2026-01-0561.0250.044.028.028.0231.0
2026-01-0661.0271.041.026.027.0238.0
2026-01-0766.0251.029.042.032.0197.0
2026-01-0862.0219.043.031.034.0185.0
2026-01-0974.0229.039.036.032.0235.0
2026-01-1063.0224.035.036.032.0225.0
2026-01-1164.0251.035.038.033.0235.0
2026-01-1252.0255.036.039.031.0214.0
2026-01-1353.0266.034.032.034.0231.0
2026-01-1461.0233.027.023.032.0243.0
2026-01-1562.0237.037.039.036.0267.0
2026-01-1653.0255.051.037.035.0275.0
2026-01-1738.0247.049.027.033.0251.0
2026-01-1854.0227.045.035.034.0250.0
2026-01-1958.0244.040.033.032.0232.0
2026-01-2058.0243.040.037.031.0194.0
2026-01-2156.0251.026.030.032.0224.0
2026-01-2264.0275.044.030.027.0241.0
2026-01-2348.0262.038.034.028.0226.0
2026-01-2446.0242.037.035.028.0232.0
2026-01-2564.0226.044.040.034.0252.0
2026-01-2643.0243.043.042.031.0243.0
2026-01-2761.0233.050.033.032.0230.0
2026-01-2854.0233.038.036.022.0218.0
2026-01-2972.0256.046.032.032.0256.0
2026-01-3071.0228.041.034.032.0237.0
2026-01-3170.0240.042.031.028.0220.0
2026-02-0149.0279.039.037.031.0232.0
2026-02-0267.0255.038.022.028.0200.0
2026-02-0366.0231.031.035.029.0237.0
2026-02-0443.0240.036.045.026.0287.0
2026-02-0571.0257.036.030.032.0240.0
2026-02-0660.0212.045.032.031.0223.0
2026-02-0760.0263.048.030.032.0160.0
2026-02-0858.0240.049.044.032.0167.0
2026-02-0953.0240.044.032.029.0237.0
2026-02-1065.0263.039.032.031.0287.0
2026-02-1181.0221.045.041.033.0231.0
2026-02-1268.0234.048.034.035.0240.0
2026-02-13103.0232.041.043.034.0261.0
2026-02-1491.0237.044.031.031.0261.0
2026-02-1574.0222.038.034.034.0241.0
2026-02-1654.0221.051.030.033.0182.0
2026-02-1775.0229.042.051.036.0191.0
2026-02-18109.0227.041.041.032.0198.0
2026-02-19115.0232.036.027.031.0207.0
2026-02-2094.0226.034.049.032.0232.0
2026-02-2186.0239.042.038.036.0215.0
2026-02-22127.0237.036.047.043.0207.0
2026-02-23104.0248.044.037.032.0224.0
2026-02-2493.0241.036.043.034.0212.0
2026-02-25116.0239.045.038.031.0172.0
2026-02-2689.0247.046.046.033.0213.0
2026-02-2764.0237.047.036.032.0214.0
2026-02-2857.0228.037.025.034.0221.0
2026-03-0120.0241.036.031.034.0191.0
2026-03-024240.040.029.035.0209.0
2026-03-034228.055.043.037.0175.0
2026-03-040244.042.028.034.0202.0
2026-03-053226.038.032.036.0220.0
2026-03-062239.038.034.035.0197.0
2026-03-073236.051.034.034.0197.0
2026-03-082243.035.047.036.0241.0
2026-03-092222.042.025.031.0218.0
2026-03-102226.037.021.032.0240.0
2026-03-112227.051.040.033.0267.0
2026-03-121216.038.032.032.0218.0
2026-03-130227.040.039.033.0222.0
2026-03-141224.025.029.037.0239.0
2026-03-157224.048.026.034.0241.0
2026-03-164197.033.049.037.0240.0
2026-03-171216.042.034.037.0259.0
2026-03-180216.043.042.035.0261.0
2026-03-190229.043.044.040.0236.0
2026-03-203225.032.032.028.0216.0
2026-03-210192.038.041.030.0239.0
2026-03-222208.047.038.034.0241.0
2026-03-234188.040.028.032.0222.0
2026-03-242224.041.029.030.0235.0
2026-03-252207.051.044.033.0242.0
2026-03-264207.041.038.033.0193.0
2026-03-272217.042.037.033.0232.0
2026-03-286188.045.036.030.0263.0
2026-03-295208.037.038.035.0228.0
2026-03-306222.037.047.038.0211.0
2026-03-315229.043.035.031.0224.0
2026-04-017193.051.042.034.0231.0
2026-04-021204.048.040.034.0199.0
2026-04-033230.035.028.035.0229.0
2026-04-0411.0233.052.039.038.0214.0
2026-04-054217.048.036.036.0244.0
2026-04-065217.037.040.033.0224.0
2026-04-073228.039.038.029.0231.0
2026-04-083201.040.032.025.0243.0
2026-04-098232.034.039.028.0245.0
2026-04-103233.046.032.036.0257.0
2026-04-117236.047.039.034.0237.0
2026-04-1212.0213.043.033.036.0257.0
2026-04-137249.042.034.038.0234.0
2026-04-145221.035.035.035.0263.0
2026-04-157234.043.041.042.0242.0
2026-04-163243.037.048.038.0220.0
2026-04-178208.034.027.037.0202.0
2026-04-1820.0208.035.022.036.0212.0
2026-04-192214.043.043.038.0258.0
2026-04-203224.047.052.032.0248.0
2026-04-214212.047.036.032.0213.0
2026-04-225205.050.036.035.0234.0
2026-04-233238.047.029.035.0218.0
2026-04-246214.032.047.034.0219.0
2026-04-254219.043.039.037.0236.0
2026-04-263229.043.038.036.0268.0
2026-04-277231.034.033.033.0239.0
2026-04-2810.0202.038.036.036.0236.0
2026-04-2939.0232.045.027.038.0250.0
2026-04-3011.0218.049.041.035.0208.0
2026-05-017216.039.042.037.0267.0
2026-05-026214.023.028.039.0287.0
2026-05-036216.033.036.033.0250.0
2026-05-042247.035.045.040.0260.0
2026-05-050220.036.032.030.0238.0
2026-05-060225.040.031.036.0259.0
2026-05-070223.046.025.036.0228.0
2026-05-080225.046.044.033.0217.0
2026-05-091222.044.029.033.0224.0
2026-05-107230.031.032.036.0254.0
2026-05-117198.047.030.034.0226.0
2026-05-123233.041.045.032.0279.0
2026-05-134220.032.038.034.0217.0
2026-05-1410.0234.037.038.033.0242.0
2026-05-154217.042.024.034.0247.0
2026-05-167204.042.038.035.0238.0
2026-05-173221.033.034.035.0285.0
2026-05-184200.038.045.033.0284.0
2026-05-194206.043.045.034.0238.0
2026-05-208208.041.037.040.0253.0
2026-05-215219.037.035.037.0225.0
2026-05-222228.042.038.032.0234.0
2026-05-236197.049.042.036.0217.0
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2026-06-2451.0218.037.037.027.0313.0
2026-06-2546.0242.051.046.033.0244.0
2026-06-2630.0234.039.036.036.0274.0
2026-06-2725.0234.039.032.033.0259.0
2026-06-2816.0217.044.037.033.0249.0
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2026-08-161178.041.036.033.0253.0
2026-08-174187.046.029.023.0207.0
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2026-08-214232.055.021.026.0265.0
2026-08-227213.039.033.025.0238.0
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2026-08-293206.038.020.030.0273.0
2026-08-306219.053.029.031.0318.0
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2026-09-042183.056.032.030.0256.0
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2026-09-093212.037.035.031.0224.0
2026-09-105195.037.027.034.0218.0
2026-09-118235.048.022.028.0187.0
2026-09-122230.040.020.029.0246.0
2026-09-138215.021.031.029.0226.0
2026-09-142224.051.025.023.0202.0
2026-09-152234.032.024.025.0217.0
2026-09-161208.037.019.025.0208.0
2026-09-173239.037.027.028.0240.0
2026-09-187256.051.027.027.0241.0
2026-09-196217.043.025.028.0221.0
2026-09-201230.042.026.027.0230.0

Source: IMF PortWatch · retrieved 23 Sep 2026 · CC BY-SA 4.0 (per third-party registry, not first-party-confirmed)

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